In the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies, the US Bitcoin Reserve Bill is gaining significant traction. Marking a pivotal moment for institutional adoption and market dynamics. Supported by influential figures like Michael Saylor, co-founder of MicroStrategy. The bill is under active discussion in Congress, potentially adding over $1 trillion to Bitcoin’s capitalization by establishing a strategic national reserve. This development aligns with the backdrop of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Where anticipated rate cuts could further fuel risk-on sentiment. From Braxons Group, a leading analytics platform specializing in regulatory metrics and AI signals. We analyze the bill’s progress, its potential impact on BTC, and trading opportunities. Data as of September 16, 2025—position strategically ahead of key congressional hearings.
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The Bitcoin Reserve Bill: Key Provisions and Momentum
The BITCOIN Act, formally known as the Boosting Innovation, Technology, and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment. Nationwide Act, was reintroduced in March 2025 by Senator Cynthia Lummis and co-sponsored by Republican lawmakers, including Rep. Nick Begich. The bill proposes designating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold, and directs the U.S. government to acquire up to 1 million BTC over five years using budget-neutral strategies, such as reallocating Federal Reserve surpluses and unrealized gold certificate values.
On September 16, 2025, a high-profile roundtable on Capitol Hill brought together 18 crypto industry leaders, including Michael Saylor and Marathon Digital Holdings CEO Fred Thiel, with lawmakers to advance the legislation. The discussions focused on overcoming bipartisan hurdles, addressing objections, and exploring fiscal-neutral funding mechanisms. While currently backed only by Republicans, organizers emphasize its potential as a bipartisan opportunity to position the U.S. as the “Bitcoin superpower.”
This momentum builds on President Trump’s March 2025 Executive Order establishing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, capitalized with seized BTC (estimated at 198,000–207,000 BTC worth $22–$24 billion at current prices). The EO prohibits sales of forfeited Bitcoin, treating it as a permanent reserve asset.
Braxons AI assesses a 65% probability of passage by year-end, driven by the GENIUS Act’s recent stablecoin success and growing congressional interest in crypto integration.
Impact on BTC and the Broader Market
The bill’s enactment could profoundly elevate Bitcoin’s status, injecting $115–$150 billion in government demand over five years (1 million BTC at $115K–$150K prices), representing 5% of BTC’s total supply. This would reduce liquid supply, supporting price floors and accelerating institutional adoption, similar to gold’s role in U.S. reserves (8,133 tons valued at $500 billion).
Short-term: Expect 10–20% BTC pumps on positive hearings, with ETF inflows amplifying to $700 million weekly. Long-term: A $1 trillion+ addition to BTC’s $2.3 trillion cap could drive prices to $200K+ by 2026, per Braxons models, correlating 0.8 with Nasdaq amid FOMC easing (94% chance of 25 bps cut).
Market ripple: Altcoins like ETH and SOL could see 15–25% rotations, while mining stocks (MARA) surge 20–30%. Risks include fiscal debates delaying passage (5–7% dips); hedge with stablecoins.
On-chain: Whale accumulation +15%, HODL ratios at 60%—Braxons forecasts BTC dominance dipping to 55% post-bill, freeing capital for alts.
Trading Signals: RSI and MACD for BTC
Braxons analyzes BTC ($115,845) with RSI for momentum and MACD for trends, based on April 2025 uptrends, anticipating bill catalysts.
- BTC ($115,845): RSI at 59 (bullish above 55, healthy without overbought >70). MACD bullish crossover (histogram +0.15)—post-roundtable target $130K (15–20% upside). Fibonacci support $110K–$115K (50% retracement), resistance $130K (161.8% extension). On-chain: ETF inflows +$553M weekly.
Overall: RSI 55–60, MACD bullish—long on supports for 15–25% Q4 gains. Risks: FOMC surprises (5–7% dip); hedge with ETH.
How Braxons Group Helps Clients Profit from the Bill
Braxons Group empowers clients to capitalize on regulatory developments like the Bitcoin Reserve Bill through:
- AI-Driven Alerts: Real-time notifications for RSI >60 entries (BTC at $115K) and MACD crossovers, targeting 10–15% yields per event.
- On-Chain Regulatory Tracking: Monitor whale activity (+15% in BTC) and congressional sentiment, spotting pre-passage pumps.
- Portfolio Rebalancer: Allocate 40–50% to BTC/mining stocks, hedging with alts at RSI >70—our AI aims for 20% Q4 returns.
- Educational Resources: Webinars on bill mechanics and demo accounts for simulated trades, minimizing risks like delays.
Integrated with platforms like Coinbase, our tools ensure precise, data-backed decisions for regulatory-driven opportunities.
Conclusion: Reserve Your Gains with Braxons Group
The US Bitcoin Reserve Bill, backed by Michael Saylor and gaining congressional steam, could add $1T+ to BTC’s cap, with RSI 59/MACD bullish signaling 15–25% rallies amid FOMC tailwinds. Braxons Group’s AI insights guide your profits in this sovereign shift.
Ready for the reserve? Join Braxons Group for alerts and demo access. What’s your BTC target post-bill? Comment below!
